Expected value is the single most important number in betting: what one unit staked on this bet returns on average if your win probability is right. Positive EV bets make money over time no matter how any single night goes; negative EV bets lose money no matter how clever they feel.
This is the same EV math Covrr runs on every model alert ("+6.2% EV at −108"). Enter your estimated win probability and the offered price to see the edge per unit — and whether the bet clears the bar at all.
